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Article Check - Will Uranium Companies Sign $100/Pound Long-Term Contracts with U.S. Utilities?
You may have heard that only time can repair bad credit, but the truth is that even time does not always repair issues that affect your credit rating. There are legal credit repair strategies that can help you repair bad credit issues, regardless of time.The reasons people seek credit repair help are as unique as the individuals that seek it. If you have applied for credit and been turned down, you were probably angry and embarrassed. You are not alone and there is help. There is legal credit repair help. Government agencies will often say that the only way to repair bad credit is to wait. This is not necessarily true. If you have been turned down for credit, you can obtain a free copy of your credit report from the credit bureau that supplied the information causing the denial. You are also entitled to a free copy every year, regardless of whether you have been turned down for credit or not. If you notice any of the following things then you should get legal credit repair help.One of the first things that you may notice when you view your credit report for the first time is that some of the listed items are very old. You may also notice that some are inaccurate. You ma
And Other Supply Sources for U.S. Utilities?
Will this force U.S. utilities out of their complacency regarding having a reliable source of uranium supply to power the country’s 103 nuclear reactors? “I think so,” Bambrough speculated. “It’s hard to say who’s going to get the forces majeures. A ‘force majeure’ is a clause in a commercial contract covering natural disasters, such as a flood, excusing the party from performing its obligations under the contract. “A lot of the forces majeures are probably going to the U.S,” he said. “The utilities were confident in the 18 million pounds to be coming out of Cigar Lake. They aren’t going to get this uranium. The question is: ‘Where are they going to get it?’”
We talked about Kazakhstan. “Russia locked up Kazakhstan’s big orebody a couple of wee
Something most of us know all to well is how to go to work and trade time for money. We have been taught this by our parents, who were taught by their parents and so on. It is passed down generation after generation; work hard at a job and you will be ok. Bullshit, I say! Sorry for being so blunt, but someone needs to give you a kick in the ass and wake you up and pull the blindfold off. Doesn’t just being OK really suck? Don’t you want more? Scary thing is we don’t know where to start since we were never taught anything about what it takes to get wealthy. One thing I know for sure, no one ever gets wealthy, I mean truly wealthy, working for someone else. The only thing you’re doing there is making someone else wealthy, how’s that for reality? So what’s the answer then, how do you create wealth? Good question. Let me tell you, there are three ways to create wealth and only three ways. Before we get on to that, lets take a look at one other thing closely first: Time. We all have 24 hours in a day, no matter how I try I cannot possibly have more time in a day than 24 hours, no one can. So why is it that some people earn $10.00 per hour and others are making $10,000.00 per hour?
One wag joked Cigar Lake should instead be turned into a hydroelectric project. This surprising development means Cigar Lake’s heralded supply of 7 million pounds of uranium oxide relieving a very tight uranium market by 2008 is gone. Future supply just got 30 percent tighter than was forecast.
“I wouldn’t be surprised if the uranium price gets pushed much higher,” Sprott Asset Management Market Strategist Kevin Bambrough told us in a tape-recorded telephone interview. “It should definitely steepen the curve that we’ve seen. I can’t imagine there will be aggressive sellers.” During our interview, Bambrough calculated the net asset value of Uranium Participation Corp (TSX: U). “As we speak, UPC is at C$10.90/share,” he said. “For the net asset value at that price, the uranium price would have to be about $75/pound. That’s where the stock market is telling you the price should be. That’s where investors think it is going.”
U.S. utilities should panic. Less than one month ago, we challenged Rajiv Kundalkar, Vice President of Nuclear Engineering for Florida Power and Light, about Cigar Lake and other significant uranium supply sources at a Platts-sponsored nuclear fuel conference. We asked him if he was aware of the risks at Cigar Lake and elsewhere. Calmly, he answered that he was.
Obviously, Mr. Kundalkar was not. (Hopefully, he is finally reading our new book, “Investing in the Great Uranium Bull Market,” which we gifted him.) Neither were a majority of utility fuel managers who failed to honestly appraise the risks involved with their supply sources. Those who neglected to lock up uranium inventory for their reactors through 2011 are now the butt of jokes at the Nuclear Energy Institute’s (NEI) annual uranium conference presently in session in Quebec City, Canada. Many fuel brokers and utility industry consultants emailed or phoned us, over the past six months, announcing they were convinced the uranium price was “too high.” Each one sincerely believed Cigar Lake, Kazakhstan and/or Olympic Dam would bring the uranium price back down to earth.
“I still say the uranium price is going to test and exceed the inflation-adjustment highs of the prior peak,” Bambrough told us. “I think the (peak of) $110 to $120 will get taken out in this market.” Is this the super spike we’ve been waiting for, and will it sustain at higher levels? “We’ll have to see how high the spike goes,” Bambrough pondered. “I still think some companies are going to be able to sign long-term deals around $100/pound. I don’t think that will be a problem for some to have that opportunity.”
How Serious Is the Cigar Lake Supply Problem?
“This is probably going to set Cameco back much more than a year,” Bambrough predicted. Last spring, he had speculated in another interview about how the uranium price might be affected if Cigar Lake were delayed more than was then anticipated. “It was supposed to do 18 million pounds a year by 2010,” he explained. “We’re losing seven million pounds out of 2008. We’re probably going to lose another 11 million pounds in 2009.”
When will Cameco know they can mine Cigar Lake? “Maybe, it will just be starting in 2010 if they figure it out,” Bambrough said. “If they figure out the whole new plan – the problem is you’ve got to deal with water permits.” Because Cameco may have to add a processing facility to be able to handle the increased flow rate, the company may have to apply for new water permits.
“Right now, they’re only permitted to process about 500 cubic meters of water an hour,” he pointed out. Cameco Chief Executive Jerry Grandey told analysts on Monday the water was flowing at 1500 cubic meters an hour. “Basically, they’ve got to go and apply for permitting to get processing in place to handle that extra water flow,” Bambrough said. “We don’t know what the flow rate is ultimately going to be. They don’t even know how contaminated the water is going to be and what processing needs to be done. They’ve got a big water problem to deal with.”
All of this will take longer than many expect. “They’re going to have to come up with a new plan and a new way to process it,” Bambrough predicted. “It’s not just about going back and rehabilitating this one area and continuing business as usual. They’re going to keep trying to work it. But in order to work it, they’re going to have to de-water it, which means they have to get water permits and put in a facility to process the water.”
As uranium and other miners have explained to us, mining is a difficult business. “In almost all metals, mining is being pushed to the limit,” Bambrough observed. “When you push things to the limit, when you push equipment to the limit and you’re going into uncharted frontiers, in terms of new depths in mining and new techniques, you’re going to run into problems.”
Can Cigar Lake be mined at all? “I think it will be somewhat mineable at some price, obviously at a higher cost,” Bambrough told us. “There’s no way to tell how long things will be delayed and what the ultimate cost will be. As you push things out a number of years, I wouldn’t be surprised if the capital expenditures double by the time this gets brought on, just because of the time element. You’ve already that money sitting there costing you money by producing later, for example the interest on the debt. Then, there are the new measures to be put in place to handle the new mining method.” Bambrough predicted the capital expenditures per pound would definitely double.
And Other Supply Sources for U.S. Utilities?
Will this force U.S. utilities out of their complacency regarding having a reliable source of uranium supply to power the country’s 103 nuclear reactors? “I think so,” Bambrough speculated. “It’s hard to say who’s going to get the forces majeures. A ‘force majeure’ is a clause in a commercial contract covering natural disasters, such as a flood, excusing the party from performing its obligations under the contract. “A lot of the forces majeures are probably going to the U.S,” he said. “The utilities were confident in the 18 million pounds to be coming out of Cigar Lake. They aren’t going to get this uranium. The question is: ‘Where are they going to get it?’”
We talked about Kazakhstan. “Russia locked up Kazakhstan’s big orebody a couple of week
You know I have been involved in many businesses and I continue to advise many more, from large corporates to small business. We own a restaurant and a winery. Very diversified interests! However it never ceases to amaze me that I see so many businesses leave their marketing efforts until they urgently need them…or often until well after. And at that stage it is often too late!!In the restaurant business, owners should know when their quiet times are and also pay attention to what is happening in the economy. The restaurant industry if one of the first to be affected in both economic downturns and also economic upturns.Studies that I am aware of have shown that in many instances marketing results do not pay off for some three to six months after they are set in motion. By making marketing a daily part of your restaurant business, (or any business), you help keep your profits higher and your customer base growing.Many restaurant owners discount the natural attrition factor that occur in daily life, such as customers moving away, having to change their diets for medical reasons, going on holidays, getting sick and all sorts of criteria that affects their trade.Another
U.S. utilities should panic. Less than one month ago, we challenged Rajiv Kundalkar, Vice President of Nuclear Engineering for Florida Power and Light, about Cigar Lake and other significant uranium supply sources at a Platts-sponsored nuclear fuel conference. We asked him if he was aware of the risks at Cigar Lake and elsewhere. Calmly, he answered that he was.
Obviously, Mr. Kundalkar was not. (Hopefully, he is finally reading our new book, “Investing in the Great Uranium Bull Market,” which we gifted him.) Neither were a majority of utility fuel managers who failed to honestly appraise the risks involved with their supply sources. Those who neglected to lock up uranium inventory for their reactors through 2011 are now the butt of jokes at the Nuclear Energy Institute’s (NEI) annual uranium conference presently in session in Quebec City, Canada. Many fuel brokers and utility industry consultants emailed or phoned us, over the past six months, announcing they were convinced the uranium price was “too high.” Each one sincerely believed Cigar Lake, Kazakhstan and/or Olympic Dam would bring the uranium price back down to earth.
“I still say the uranium price is going to test and exceed the inflation-adjustment highs of the prior peak,” Bambrough told us. “I think the (peak of) $110 to $120 will get taken out in this market.” Is this the super spike we’ve been waiting for, and will it sustain at higher levels? “We’ll have to see how high the spike goes,” Bambrough pondered. “I still think some companies are going to be able to sign long-term deals around $100/pound. I don’t think that will be a problem for some to have that opportunity.”
How Serious Is the Cigar Lake Supply Problem?
“This is probably going to set Cameco back much more than a year,” Bambrough predicted. Last spring, he had speculated in another interview about how the uranium price might be affected if Cigar Lake were delayed more than was then anticipated. “It was supposed to do 18 million pounds a year by 2010,” he explained. “We’re losing seven million pounds out of 2008. We’re probably going to lose another 11 million pounds in 2009.”
When will Cameco know they can mine Cigar Lake? “Maybe, it will just be starting in 2010 if they figure it out,” Bambrough said. “If they figure out the whole new plan – the problem is you’ve got to deal with water permits.” Because Cameco may have to add a processing facility to be able to handle the increased flow rate, the company may have to apply for new water permits.
“Right now, they’re only permitted to process about 500 cubic meters of water an hour,” he pointed out. Cameco Chief Executive Jerry Grandey told analysts on Monday the water was flowing at 1500 cubic meters an hour. “Basically, they’ve got to go and apply for permitting to get processing in place to handle that extra water flow,” Bambrough said. “We don’t know what the flow rate is ultimately going to be. They don’t even know how contaminated the water is going to be and what processing needs to be done. They’ve got a big water problem to deal with.”
All of this will take longer than many expect. “They’re going to have to come up with a new plan and a new way to process it,” Bambrough predicted. “It’s not just about going back and rehabilitating this one area and continuing business as usual. They’re going to keep trying to work it. But in order to work it, they’re going to have to de-water it, which means they have to get water permits and put in a facility to process the water.”
As uranium and other miners have explained to us, mining is a difficult business. “In almost all metals, mining is being pushed to the limit,” Bambrough observed. “When you push things to the limit, when you push equipment to the limit and you’re going into uncharted frontiers, in terms of new depths in mining and new techniques, you’re going to run into problems.”
Can Cigar Lake be mined at all? “I think it will be somewhat mineable at some price, obviously at a higher cost,” Bambrough told us. “There’s no way to tell how long things will be delayed and what the ultimate cost will be. As you push things out a number of years, I wouldn’t be surprised if the capital expenditures double by the time this gets brought on, just because of the time element. You’ve already that money sitting there costing you money by producing later, for example the interest on the debt. Then, there are the new measures to be put in place to handle the new mining method.” Bambrough predicted the capital expenditures per pound would definitely double.
And Other Supply Sources for U.S. Utilities?
Will this force U.S. utilities out of their complacency regarding having a reliable source of uranium supply to power the country’s 103 nuclear reactors? “I think so,” Bambrough speculated. “It’s hard to say who’s going to get the forces majeures. A ‘force majeure’ is a clause in a commercial contract covering natural disasters, such as a flood, excusing the party from performing its obligations under the contract. “A lot of the forces majeures are probably going to the U.S,” he said. “The utilities were confident in the 18 million pounds to be coming out of Cigar Lake. They aren’t going to get this uranium. The question is: ‘Where are they going to get it?’”
We talked about Kazakhstan. “Russia locked up Kazakhstan’s big orebody a couple of wee
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How Serious Is the Cigar Lake Supply Problem?
“This is probably going to set Cameco back much more than a year,” Bambrough predicted. Last spring, he had speculated in another interview about how the uranium price might be affected if Cigar Lake were delayed more than was then anticipated. “It was supposed to do 18 million pounds a year by 2010,” he explained. “We’re losing seven million pounds out of 2008. We’re probably going to lose another 11 million pounds in 2009.”
When will Cameco know they can mine Cigar Lake? “Maybe, it will just be starting in 2010 if they figure it out,” Bambrough said. “If they figure out the whole new plan – the problem is you’ve got to deal with water permits.” Because Cameco may have to add a processing facility to be able to handle the increased flow rate, the company may have to apply for new water permits.
“Right now, they’re only permitted to process about 500 cubic meters of water an hour,” he pointed out. Cameco Chief Executive Jerry Grandey told analysts on Monday the water was flowing at 1500 cubic meters an hour. “Basically, they’ve got to go and apply for permitting to get processing in place to handle that extra water flow,” Bambrough said. “We don’t know what the flow rate is ultimately going to be. They don’t even know how contaminated the water is going to be and what processing needs to be done. They’ve got a big water problem to deal with.”
All of this will take longer than many expect. “They’re going to have to come up with a new plan and a new way to process it,” Bambrough predicted. “It’s not just about going back and rehabilitating this one area and continuing business as usual. They’re going to keep trying to work it. But in order to work it, they’re going to have to de-water it, which means they have to get water permits and put in a facility to process the water.”
As uranium and other miners have explained to us, mining is a difficult business. “In almost all metals, mining is being pushed to the limit,” Bambrough observed. “When you push things to the limit, when you push equipment to the limit and you’re going into uncharted frontiers, in terms of new depths in mining and new techniques, you’re going to run into problems.”
Can Cigar Lake be mined at all? “I think it will be somewhat mineable at some price, obviously at a higher cost,” Bambrough told us. “There’s no way to tell how long things will be delayed and what the ultimate cost will be. As you push things out a number of years, I wouldn’t be surprised if the capital expenditures double by the time this gets brought on, just because of the time element. You’ve already that money sitting there costing you money by producing later, for example the interest on the debt. Then, there are the new measures to be put in place to handle the new mining method.” Bambrough predicted the capital expenditures per pound would definitely double.
And Other Supply Sources for U.S. Utilities?
Will this force U.S. utilities out of their complacency regarding having a reliable source of uranium supply to power the country’s 103 nuclear reactors? “I think so,” Bambrough speculated. “It’s hard to say who’s going to get the forces majeures. A ‘force majeure’ is a clause in a commercial contract covering natural disasters, such as a flood, excusing the party from performing its obligations under the contract. “A lot of the forces majeures are probably going to the U.S,” he said. “The utilities were confident in the 18 million pounds to be coming out of Cigar Lake. They aren’t going to get this uranium. The question is: ‘Where are they going to get it?’”
We talked about Kazakhstan. “Russia locked up Kazakhstan’s big orebody a couple of wee
In order to build the right infrastructure, you must think strategically – that’s having a business mindset. Before you make any decisions in business think about the outcome on all levels; here are seven examples of having a business mindset:1. Having a business mindset is knowing that the purpose of business is to make money. Sometimes your hobby is just a hobby. Either you’re going to have a hobby that makes you a little extra money or you’re going to have a business that requires a higher level of development in order to acquire a higher level of income.2. Having a business mindset means thinking for yourself vs. letting other people think for you. Don’t allow the experts to control your destiny or your dreams, let them help you get there. Take some time to think, document, research your own idea before asking for help – if you do – you will be better equipped to ask for exactly what you want and getting it.3. Having a business mindset means being more strategic about your business activity. Don’t just go to any networking event or take on any job; know what results you want before you invest in business activity.For example, do you know how much it real
All of this will take longer than many expect. “They’re going to have to come up with a new plan and a new way to process it,” Bambrough predicted. “It’s not just about going back and rehabilitating this one area and continuing business as usual. They’re going to keep trying to work it. But in order to work it, they’re going to have to de-water it, which means they have to get water permits and put in a facility to process the water.”
As uranium and other miners have explained to us, mining is a difficult business. “In almost all metals, mining is being pushed to the limit,” Bambrough observed. “When you push things to the limit, when you push equipment to the limit and you’re going into uncharted frontiers, in terms of new depths in mining and new techniques, you’re going to run into problems.”
Can Cigar Lake be mined at all? “I think it will be somewhat mineable at some price, obviously at a higher cost,” Bambrough told us. “There’s no way to tell how long things will be delayed and what the ultimate cost will be. As you push things out a number of years, I wouldn’t be surprised if the capital expenditures double by the time this gets brought on, just because of the time element. You’ve already that money sitting there costing you money by producing later, for example the interest on the debt. Then, there are the new measures to be put in place to handle the new mining method.” Bambrough predicted the capital expenditures per pound would definitely double.
And Other Supply Sources for U.S. Utilities?
Will this force U.S. utilities out of their complacency regarding having a reliable source of uranium supply to power the country’s 103 nuclear reactors? “I think so,” Bambrough speculated. “It’s hard to say who’s going to get the forces majeures. A ‘force majeure’ is a clause in a commercial contract covering natural disasters, such as a flood, excusing the party from performing its obligations under the contract. “A lot of the forces majeures are probably going to the U.S,” he said. “The utilities were confident in the 18 million pounds to be coming out of Cigar Lake. They aren’t going to get this uranium. The question is: ‘Where are they going to get it?’”
We talked about Kazakhstan. “Russia locked up Kazakhstan’s big orebody a couple of wee
Sometimes things just happen. Maybe we lose focus and take our eyes off the ball. Maybe we don't recognize the signs. Sometimes it happens quickly due to a loss of a major customer or loss of a major product line. Sometimes it is a slow, gradual process. Market share seems to evaporate; gross margin exhibits an extended period of decline. Morale suffers, employee turnover increases, net profit declines, costs seem to get out of control and losses become imminent. Some Owners, Presidents and CEO's who find themselves in a situation facing these warning signs may actually contribute to the creation of “The Death Spiral” if they aren’t careful.What is “The Death Spiral” and how do you know if your company is in one?“The Death Spiral” is a fatal illness if not corrected immediately. This illness can be brought on by many factors including the process of building an infrastructure (“Ivory Tower”) prematurely based predominantly on the self-gratifying needs of our ego. It can also be created by the circumstances mentioned in the opening of this article. Whatever the reason, the warning signs generally appear and, if ignored long enough, red ink from losses on the P & L statement will be
And Other Supply Sources for U.S. Utilities?
Will this force U.S. utilities out of their complacency regarding having a reliable source of uranium supply to power the country’s 103 nuclear reactors? “I think so,” Bambrough speculated. “It’s hard to say who’s going to get the forces majeures. A ‘force majeure’ is a clause in a commercial contract covering natural disasters, such as a flood, excusing the party from performing its obligations under the contract. “A lot of the forces majeures are probably going to the U.S,” he said. “The utilities were confident in the 18 million pounds to be coming out of Cigar Lake. They aren’t going to get this uranium. The question is: ‘Where are they going to get it?’”
We talked about Kazakhstan. “Russia locked up Kazakhstan’s big orebody a couple of weeks ago on the agreement to build processing facilities and nuclear plants,” Bambrough pointed out. “I think that is very significant. The Western World was counting on getting a lot of that supply. I think we can clearly see now that is going to be Russian-controlled supply I expect they will want to pair with their new reactor orders for both domestic and abroad.”
And Olympic Dam? “To put in the Olympic Dam expansion, they would have to put in a desalination plant,” Bambrough warned. “They already use all the local water resources to begin with. I think they’ll have to build more desalination plants, which requires more power.” He believes the Cigar Lake flooding may drive the uranium price high enough to make the massive capital expenditures required for Olympic Dam to move the expansion plans forward. “It may cost between seven and ten billion dollars,” Bambrough said.
Finding an immediate supply source will become a serious challenge for American utilities. “The delays are Cigar Lake will create a sense of urgency for the next few years,” Bambrough told us. “It’s almost the equivalent of the oil industry losing Saudi Arabia. The utilities lost what amounts to 10 percent of consumption.”
What about the emerging U.S. uranium mining industry? “It’s tough to get production up to 18 million pounds any time soon,” he responded. But Bambrough added, “Unless they start fast-tracking all the permitting, which is what I think is going to have to happen.”
For Cameco Corp, it was Black Monday, but for many uranium juniors it was Green Monday. As Cameco shares tumbled by nearly 10 percent trading on the Big Board, junior uranium companies such as SXR Uranium One, Energy Metals and UR-Energy shares jumped between 14 and 19 percent on the Toronto stock exchange.
We asked Bambrough about the companies which would benefit the most by the Cigar Lake delays. “I think that the ones which have been more criticized and more marginal stand to gain the most. The most-cost producers won’t gain as much. The near-term producers stand to really gain. The closer you are to production, you stand to gain more.” This past Friday, one of our favorite stock analysts, Bart Jaworski of Raymond James Canada, issued two strong buy recommendations on junior uranium mining stocks: Strathmore Minerals and Energy Metals Corporation. We’ve previously written about both and interviewed the president of the former in yesterday’s article.
Hopefully, U.S. utilities will heed our advice, and utility spokesmen, such as Mr. Kundalkar of Florida Power and Light will take our questions seriously, during our future chats. In the meantime, this weekend and next should be interesting when TradeTech issues the spot uranium price.
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